ABSTRACT
Background: Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) is implicated as a host cell receptor that causes infection in the pathogenesis of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), and its genetic polymorphisms in the ACE2 gene may promote cardiovascular disease and systemic inflammatory injury in COVID-19. Hence, genetic background may potentially explain the broad inter-individual variation of disease susceptibility and/or severity. Methods The genetic susceptibility to COVID-19 by examining single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of ACE2 was analyzed in 196 patients with COVID-19 and 210 normal controls using TaqMan genotyping assay. Results We demonstrated that ACE2 SNP rs4646142, rs6632677, and rs2074192 were associated with COVID-19 (all P < 0.05), and the differences of ACE2 SNPs rs4646142 and rs6632677 were correlated with COVID-19 related systemic inflammatory injury and cardiovascular risk. Specially, rs4646142 was associated with high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), prealbumin (PAB), apolipoprotein A (APOA), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), and acid glycoprotein (AGP). Rs6632677 was also associated with elevated CRP and haptoglobin (HPT). Conclusions Our results suggest that early identification of these individuals can provide a possible strategy for preventing the spread of the COVID-19, and ACE2 SNPs rs4646142 and rs6632677 may be a common genetic loci and optimal early identification genetic marker for COVID-19 with cardiovascular risks.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , COVID-19 , Brain InjuriesABSTRACT
Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), spreads rapidly and has attracted worldwide attention.Methods: To improve the forecast accuracy and investigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2, we constructed four mathematical models to numerically estimate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and the efficacy of eradication strategies.Results: Using the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed (SEIR) model, and including measures such as city closures and extended leave policies implemented by the Chinese government that effectively reduced the β value, we estimated that the β value and basic transmission number, R0, of SARS-CoV-2 was 0.476/6.66 in Wuhan, 0.359/5.03 in Korea, and 0.400/5.60 in Italy. Considering medicine and vaccines, an advanced model demonstrated that the emergence of vaccines would greatly slow the spread of the virus. Our model predicted that 100,000 people would become infected assuming that the isolation rate α in Wuhan was 0.30. If quarantine measures were taken from March 10, 2020, and the quarantine rate of α was also 0.3, then the final number of infected people was predicted to be 11,426 in South Korea and 147,142 in Italy.Conclusions: Our mathematical models indicate that SARS-CoV-2 eradication depends on systematic planning, effective hospital isolation, and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, and some measures including city closures and leave policies should be implemented to ensure SARS-CoV-2 eradication.